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| October 2002 monthly assessment issued 1 November
2002 |
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Monthly summaries available for: England
and Wales | Scotland | Northern
Ireland
Homogenous time series based upon selected station data:
CET | England and Wales
rainfall
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| Mostly cold wet and windy after a
warm dry start. Some overnight frost later in the month. |
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Diary of highlights
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1st to 10th Warm and mostly dry with sunny
spells especially at first. Prestatyn (Clwyd) reached
23.8 °C on the 1st, however occasional rain affected
some areas during the first few days. Thereafter the
weather became mainly dry and sunny but there were some
mist and fog patches around dawn. As low pressure moved
away to Denmark on the 5th, a weak ridge of high
pressure extending from north Scandinavia settled over
the region for a few days. Atlantic fronts brought rain
to south-west districts on the 8th and 9th as a low
passed close by, reaching France by the 10th and
bringing chilly ESE winds to many areas.
11th
to 15th Unsettled, mostly cold, very wet and windy.
A slow moving front gave very heavy rain to the north
and north-west during the 11th and 12th. A low crossing
southern areas on the 13th deposited large amounts of
rain especially over south-west England and south Wales
causing serious flooding in places. Pembrey Sands near
Swansea received 72 mm in 12 hours. Another low gave
heavy rain on the 15th in the south-west, Midlands,
south-east and eastern counties with some places having
their wettest October day on record. Dunkeswell in Devon
totalled 120 mm in four days. A tornado at Torquay on
the 15th damaged a church roof and uprooted trees, while
others in Essex near Colchester and Maldon caused damage
to outhouses.
16th to 19th A quieter
interlude after rain cleared from East Anglia early on
16th, Lowestoft had 63 mm in 24 hours from some thundery
outbreaks. Thereafter it was mainly rather cold and dry
with frost at night, apart from a few showers in the
extreme south-east on the 17th and 18th. Rain spread
back into the south-west later on the 19th.
20th to 24th A frosty start in the north,
Shap (Cumbria) falling to -6.2 °C early on the 20th.
More heavy rain (with local flooding) fell in the north
on the 20th and 21st as a deep low tracked
north-north-east over the UK. Mostly cold and showery
after with some thunder and also some snow falling over
the Peak District and Cumbria.
25th to
27th The 25th brought gales and squally showers,
some with thunder, as a vigorous low passed to the
north. At Portchester (Hants) a tornado did much damage
to roofs, garages, walls and fences. The 26th was
quieter but rain and thunder affected the south-west
later. On the 27th a deep depression moved from
south-west Ireland to north-east England bringing rain
and storm force winds; Mumbles near Swansea had a gust
of 84 knots. There were some fatalities and widespread
damage to trees and power lines bringing disruption to
road and rail networks.
28th to 31st Dry
at first, then occasional rain with patchy mist, hill
and coastal fog from the 29th to the 31st .
This has been the first month since December 2001
to be colder than
average.
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| Statistical details (using best available
data/estimates): updated 2003 |
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England & Wales Mean Temperature Series ( series
began in 1961 ). The final value for the month was 9.7 °C, which
is 0.4 °C below the 1961-1990 average, which is in the close to average category.
England & Wales Rainfall Series ( series began
in 1961 ). The final total for the month was 133.3 mm, which is 154 % of the
1961-1990 average, which is in the well above average category.
England & Wales Sunshine Series ( series began
in 1961 ). The final total for the month was 93.4 hours, which is 97 %
of the 1961-1990 average, which is in the close to average
category.
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| Scotland |
| Cold and unsettled, after a warm and
dry start. |
| Diary of Highlights |
The dry and warm weather of September continued for
the first ten days of October, with southerly or
south-easterly winds. Thereafter the weather became much
colder, with an anticyclone over Greenland directing an
Arctic airstream towards Scotland. Active and slow
moving fronts produced two episodes of heavy rain in the
east and south.
October started warm, with southerly winds giving
temperatures exceeding 21 °C in places on the first two
days. Mainly dry and uneventful weather continued up to
the 10th, with a Scandinavian anticyclone keeping fronts
at bay.
On the 11th and 12th Atlantic fronts pushed slowly
across Scotland, depositing much rain. There was 74 mm
at Dundrennan on the 11th and 58 mm at Inverbervie the
next day.
From the 13th to the 20th cold NE winds backed slowly
to the north, bringing night frosts. Showers affected
north and north-eastern districts, and there was a good
deal of sunshine in central and southern parts. It
became progressively colder, with the temperature
falling to -7.5 °C at Tyndrum and Tallish Bridge on the
20th.
On the 21st and 22nd a deep depression passed from
Ireland to the North Sea, bringing much rain south-east
of the Great Glen. Two-day totals amounted to 78.8 mm at
Charterhall and 83.2 mm at Aberdeen.
During the last week the belt of most disturbed
weather lay to the south of Scotland, which stayed in
the cold air with light winds. The weather was variable,
with periods of rain alternating with clear, frosty
spells.
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Statistical details (using
best available data/estimates): updated 2003
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Scotland Mean Temperature Series (
series began in 1961 ). The final value for the month was 6.9 °C, which
is 1.2 °C below the 1961-1990 average, which is in the below average category.
Scotland Rainfall Series ( series began in 1961
). The final total for the month was 184.6 mm, which is 116 % of the
1961-1990 average, which is in the close to average category.
Scotland Sunshine Series ( series began in 1961
). The final total for the month was 74.0 hours, which is 100 %
of the 1961-1990 average, which is in the close to average
category.
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| Northern
Ireland |
| Wet and cool. |
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Diary of Highlights
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Unsettled conditions, particularly during the latter
part of the month, made this a wet and cool October in
all areas of the province. Sunshine values were however
close to average.
1st to 7th Very mild with above average
temperatures both by day and night. Scattered showers
were recorded through much of this period, however a
weak weather front brought a band of more persistent
rainfall to all areas on the 2nd. The 3rd was then a
very sunny day, while little or no sunshine was recorded
in many areas on the 2nd, 5th and 6th.
8th to
12th Unsettled with temperatures close to normal for
the time of year. The 9th however, proved to be a
largely dry day, while the 12th was one of scattered
showers and good spells of sunshine. Frontal systems
brought bands of persistent and often quite heavy rain
on the 8th, 10th and 11th. Indeed the 11th proved to be
one of the wettest days of the month, with almost 25 mm
of rainfall recorded in many locations on this date
alone.
13th to 19th Cool with below
average temperatures and occurrences of both air and
ground frosts. Scattered showers and sunny spells
dominated throughout this period, with the 16th and 18th
proving to be two of the sunniest days of the month in
all areas.
20th to 26th Very unsettled
with frequent periods of persistent moderate to heavy
rainfall leading to localised flooding in many areas.
Typically between 50 and 100 mm of rainfall was recorded
between the 20th and 22nd and indeed in parts of the
Mourne Mountains almost 150 mm of rainfall was recorded
during this period. Almost 25 mm of rainfall was also
recorded in many places on the 24th and 26th, making the
rainfall totals over this one-week period typically four
to six times what could be expected for the time of
year. Temperatures also fell below average during this
spell, with further occurrences of air and ground frosts
on the morning of the 20th and widespread ground frosts
on the morning of the 24th.
27th to 31st
Cool with bands of rain and showery conditions
interspersed with some good spells of sunshine.
Widespread ground frosts and isolated air frosts were
also recorded during this period.
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Statistical details (using
best available data/estimates): updated 2003
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Northern Ireland Mean Temperature Series ( series
began in 1961 ). The final value for the month was 8.7 °C, which
is 0.8 °C below the 1961-1990 average, which is in the below average category.
Northern Ireland Rainfall Series ( series began
in 1961 ). The final total for the month was 200.6 mm, which is 175 % of the
1961-1990 average, which is in the exceptionally above average category. 2nd wettest in series, wettest being 1990 with 208.2 mm.
Northern Ireland Sunshine Series ( series began
in 1961 ). The final total for the month was 76.3 hours, which is 93 %
of the 1961-1990 average, which is in the close to average
category.
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Homogeneous series based upon selected station data: updated
2003 |
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Central England Temperature (series begins in 1659).
The initial mean value for the month was 10.1 °C which is 0.5
°C below the 1961-90 normal of 10.6 °C and is in the normal
category. Others:- 2001/13.3, 2000/10.3, 1999/10.7, 1998/10.6,
1995/12.9, 1969/13.0 °C.
England and Wales Rainfall (series begins in 1766).
The initial total for the month was 144.2 mm, which is 166 % of
the 1961-90 average and is in the well above average category. Others:-
2001/135.4, 2000/188.0, 1999/86.5, 1998/152.1 mm.
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| Note: Diary values are provisional based
on data available at the time. |
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