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Health facts

The relationship between the weather and health is not straightforward. A number of factors other than weather predictions need to be considered when producing a health forecast, as illness can vary from person to person and place to place: Season, day of the week, prevalence of viruses and demographic factors all have an impact.

The facts below demonstrate the impact of the weather - and in particular a fall in temperature - on our health. Visit our what to do pages for tips on how to keep yourself and others healthy and safe in severe weather conditions.

Image: woman shivering
  • Acute bronchitis affects young children before Christmas and the over-65s during the New Year period
     
  • In England and Wales, there is a 2% increase in mortality for every degree below 19 °C. Roughly half of these deaths are caused by respiratory conditions and half by strokes and heart attacks
     
  • Cold temperatures lead to stress on the vascular system. After a fall in temperature, heart attacks increase after two days and strokes after five days
     
  • Deaths due to respiratory disease increase 12 days after a fall in temperature
     
  • In Finland, for every 1 °C the temperature drops from 18 °C, the mortality rate increases by just over 0.2%. In the UK, the figure is around six times higher. Visit our what to do pages for advice
     
  • Increases in falls and heart attacks occur three days after snow fall. It is thought that this is because people stay at home until they need to venture out
     
  • No time lag appears to exist between heat and mortality
     
  • Most heat-related deaths are caused by respiratory illness and strokes in the elderly

To find out more about the Met Office's health forecasting services and expertise please contact our 24-hour Customer Centre or e-mail to health@metoffice.gov.uk.